Could and would have to dramatically different meaning. Media makes the sound on par.
this post was submitted on 07 Oct 2024
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New analysis suggests national debt could increase under Harris,
Oh no.
My life won't change.
but it would surge under Trump
OH NO!!!
My life won't change.
Guess my vote will be based on things like which one of them says they're going to be a dictator who will deport millions of people he calls vermin.
You have nothing to worry about if you're not vermin. Have you checked recently?
I'm not vermin yet, but I'm Jewish, my daughter is Jewish and queer and even my white, Christian wife is in trouble because she's a librarian. So basically we're all going to be the vermin sooner or later.
Oof, that mix is like almost asking for it. You should arm yourself. 😂
I've armed myself with dual citizenship to the UK, which is where we'll be off to some time between November and January, depending on the outcome of the election.
Ah, not bad. Probably better than Canada in some regards.
I technically qualify for German citizenship, but it will be a big bureaucratic hurdle and one I would wait until I got to the UK to tackle.
Everything is a big bureaucratic hurdle in Germany. Hope you make it across to Europe though, it's much calmer if not completely chill over here.
Und außerdem, wie ist mit deinen Deutschsprachkenntnissen?
Und außerdem, wie ist mit deinen Deutschsprachkenntnissen?
I had to use Google Translate, if that tells you anything. So that would be another hurdle on top of the bureaucratic ones.
Here's the situation: my German grandfather married my English Grandmother in 1929 and emigrated to the UK the same year. My father was born in 1931. My grandfather did not officially renounce his German citizenship and become a British subject until 1936.
This would, in theory, make my father a German citizen (he would hate that so much) and my brother and I too.
Here is the really big problem in terms of bureaucracy: my grandfather was Jewish. He was officially listed as stateless on his naturalization papers because Germany no longer recognized him as a citizen for obvious reasons.
So yeah, if I fought hard for it, and I may one day, I could get German (and thus EU) citizenship. But it will take a lot of work.
That said, we fought hard for many years for ownership of an apartment building owned by my great-grandmother and seized by the Nazis that was in the former East Berlin. In 1989, we started lawyering up and I don't think it all got resolved for about 10 years. Then we had to sell it for a paltry amount of money because renovating it to comply with modern regulations would have been too expensive and there were price controls at the time. But we fought and won. Maybe I should do it again.
It's maybe worth pointing out that the analysis covers 10 years and appears to account for $0 in GDP growth (and corresponding tax base growth) dependent on those policies. If I'm reading this correctly (big if to be fair): Assuming the government continues to capture 17.5% of US GDP, Harris' policies would need to generate roughly 4% GDP growth per year (no small feat, granted) to be net zero relative to absolute debt levels and less than that to be net zero relative to debt as a percentage of GDP. Government expenditure is not like consumer spending because almost every dollar it spends looks less like consumption and more like an investment, and leveraging investments is actually a valid strategy, especially when you have the economic momentum/inertia of a nation state to balance the risks involved with debt, and that is before you even get into fiscal monetary policy
It is a wealth transfer, from the middle class to the wealthy
The last time a President ran a balanced budget was Clinton. He did so with the support of the House, by increasing taxes on the wealthy, energy consumption, and Social Security.
The only chance Harris would have at running a balanced budget would be if Democrats obtain control of the House.
We don't need a balanced budget. The government is not a business.
Foreign ownership of US debt is risky, and could lead to instability of the US Dollar.
As of April 2024, the five countries owning the most US debt are Japan ($1.1 trillion), China ($749.0 billion), the United Kingdom ($690.2 billion), Luxembourg ($373.5 billion), and Canada ($328.7 billion).
https://usafacts.org/articles/which-countries-own-the-most-us-debt/
Bluntly, neither of them are willing to do the thing necessary to balance the budget, or decrease the national debt, which is raise taxes back to the level they were at before Nixon took office. There's not a quick and easy solution to any of this, but the top marginal tax rates are ridiculously low, and we've made is easy and cheap to outsource production.
When you're already spending less than the minimum needed to keep a country running effectively, you can't simply cut your way out of debt; you need to increase revenues, and that means taxation. The smartest taxes are progressive; they're taxes on wealth and on income, taxes that affect the poor and the rich proportionately, which is to say progressively. Flat taxes, sales taxes, etc., are inherently regressive, affecting the poor disproportionately, and are thus less effective at increasing tax revenues.
“Could” doing some heavy “bOtH SidES!” lifting in that headline.
Yeah that headline is all sorts of manipulative. Are they counting on people stopping reading at the first comma?