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I always figured that there are 32 starting QB jobs in the NFL at any time, but there are rarely more than 10 good QBs at any time. Most teams will have to make do with mediocre QB play and hope to hell their run game & defense are pretty good.
Which is crazy when you consider the sheer number of athletes in the world, there must be some draw to other sports, or reluctance to take on the QB role, that is creating a shortage.
Like theres's got to be some up and coming cricket bowler in India who has a degree in finite number theory and an international chess rating who could easily throw spirals and learn to call games from the line of scrimmage, but he's like "Nah, I don't want to make ten times as much money."
Is it concussions?
Concussions could be one thing. But I think there’s enough prestige & cachet in the QB position, not to mention salary potential, that concussion risks ought not to limit the candidate pool overly much.
Personally, I think there are some major factors:
I don’t think anything could realistically be done on the second point, but on the first one it would help if more colleges ran offensive schemes typical of what’s in the NFL.
Problem is, schemes in the NFL are great for situations where teams are closely matched. But college teams often have wide disparities in physical talent that can only be offset through creative schemes.