That's unlikely. Both Reddit and Twitter speak or at least spoke to people who enjoy a certain image of being anti establishment (in one way or another and whether that's warranted or not). Youtube just doesn't. You can't get more mainstream than Youtube.
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Yes and no. We had TV before YouTube. And yet people still wanted YouTube. Now, YouTube is going full circle and turning into TV. At the end of the day, people just want a place where they can share some cat videos, and random funny clips and memes without all the monetisation, adds, regulation, political correctness, and sanitization. It's just too out of touch for a lot of people.
I'm not sure if the next tube platform will have p2p or federation, but I do know that business models that don't make the user the client always end up dieing from enshitification. People just get fed up of it. It's just a matter of when, not if.
Problem is youtube is a platform that pays its content creators. It won't ever happen. If discord ever decides they want to be profitable then that'll be next.
Im not surprised. For years we all enjoyed a ton of "free" services but eventually these companies would have to make money.
Gotta be a way for folks to get paid. Most of the folks I watch on YouTube do it for a living.
It probably wouldn't be able to be exactly like YouTube with regular "shows" but rather like YouTube was at the beginning where people just uploaded their random videos to share.
It sounds like YouTube is heading towards conflict with it's long-term content providers as well. Their new algorithm heavily favors "shorts". This really screws over the traditional medium to long format creators who arguably made YouTube successful. Sounds like they want to move quickly into the TikTok space but it's sad for a lot of creators who are losing significant income d/t this change.
But, peertube won't ever be a replacement. Most youtube creators do what they do for money. Peertube isn't the platform for that, and I'm not convinced the storage and hosting requirements will really ever be a proper replacement for youtube. What youtube does is much more expensive than what reddit or twitter do.
I know it's very difficult to find good PeerTube instances, I'm trying to update my list when I find good ones: https://jeena.net/notes/1230