this post was submitted on 12 Dec 2023
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No. I think a lot more people on the right were excited about him when he was an unknown quantity. Now that they’ve seen him in office and none of what they wanted happened (no wall, no Hillary arrest) a lot of the energy has diffused and the election is going to be decided by middle - upper class suburban whites who crave normalcy. I lived in Florida in 2016 and everywhere you looked there were trump flags, trump merchandise, etc. I just drove across the country and saw like three trump signs, one in Indiana, one in Kansas, and one in Colorado, and the one in Colorado just said, “thank you for trying to make our country great again”. Loser shit. The energy just isn’t there.
Also consider the shifting demographics. A lot of older people who tend to vote republican died of Covid these last few years while a lot of young people who grew up on anti-trump media and naturally skew left are entering voting age. There are some right wing young people but not a ton, especially compared to previous generations.
We might not have another republican president for a few election cycles. I think when we eventually do, it’ll be a young, savvy politician who doesn’t talk about culture war stuff as much but “just wants to keep taxes low and put America first”, like a further right Pete buttigieg. The current strategy of latching into divisive culture war stuff isn’t working. They want to recreate 2016 but 2016 was such a one in a million aligning of specific conditions that it’s unlikely to work again, even with bidens falling approval ratings due to unpopular support of Israel.