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A lot of Americans would come fight right alongside you. People are pissed.
This is the main reason I'm sure that a hot war is not going to happen.
Picture how chaotic and dysfunctional the US was in the latter years of the Vietnam war, and that was at least theoretically a war against the great evil "Communism", when the people being killed were "Gooks", who were barely human (at least according to racist propaganda).
Any war on Canada would probably start with maybe 30% support, and only go down from there. Could you even trust American soldiers to follow orders and kill Canadians? Probably some would obey, definitely not all. At a minimum, many would be shooting to miss, rather than carefully aiming.
As soon as Canada was attacked, you'd have Canadians streaming across the largest land border in the world into the US to engage in guerilla warfare -- think the "Troubles" in Northern Ireland, except with much less of a difference in accent. They'd probably be joined by plenty of Americans too.
And, while the US military is very experienced, the US public hasn't had to deal with war on their territory since the Civil War, generations ago.
I won't discount the possibility that the US drums up support for a war by staging a false flag attack or something. But, even with that, I think a majority of the US wouldn't want to risk American lives trying to kill Canadians.
I’m in Minnesota, I’d take up arms against people trying to invade Canada. Fuck those fascists.
Let's go Canada!