this post was submitted on 04 Feb 2025
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When you are a nation-state, you can find a pretty amount of money to pay for a video of some unfavorable person committing a crime they've not committed. Or a dead\incapacitated\unwilling politician saying a speech. Or a person possessing authority confirming something they didn't confirm.
When you are an entertainment company, you can find a pretty amount of money to pay for a technology to make characters appear consistent a decade after actors died.
When you are a multitude of clueless investors, you can together find a pretty amount of money to pay for Sun hardware in close future, then dotcom bubble burst comes. Same for this thing - it may be just a bubble.
I think all 3 variants are not stable, for #1 people already know deepfakes exist, and also fiction has prepared us for things like Saruman's voice, charm spells in HP, just convincing illusions in Star Trek, the Force affecting minds in Star Wars, and so on, might be why mainstream doesn't like geek culture, or tries to present it neutered and bland, for #2 they have to be unbelievably good and generative models are still not very good at philosophy and writing plots, for #3 - I think it's too optimistic.