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What would you rate Donald Trump's actual chances of getting more than two full terms as U.S. president? (lemmy.world)

submitted 4 weeks ago by TootSweet@lemmy.world to c/asklemmy@lemmy.ml

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I mean in terms of percentages.

And I don't necessarily mean three full terms. 2.5 terms or 2.1 terms or anything nontrivially more than 2 (like, 10 minutes more doesn't count) would qualify.

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[–] weeeeum@lemmy.world 9 points 4 weeks ago (1 children)

Democrats are practically shoving the voting base towards trump. Their whole selling point is "saving the system that's starving you".

Trump promised to destroy it, and destroy it he will. Not for us of course.

Same thing happened in 1930s Germany. Nornal parties were just gonna keep things going, while people had to use wheelbarrows of cash to buy a loaf and Hitler promised to destroy it all and make Germany the greatest its ever been.

[–] LyingCake@feddit.org 5 points 4 weeks ago (1 children)

You might believe that the following facts are besides your point, but I still want to get this straight:

Hyperinflation in the Weimar Republic reached its peak in 1923
the NSDAP (the nazi party) got only 2% of the vote in the 1928 elections
Hitler rose to power in 1933, after getting over 40% of the vote.

Note that there were 4 national elections between 1930 and 1933. The Weimar Republic was about as stable politically as a house of cards on a trampoline.

It's still true that part of the success of Hitler's party was due to former non-voters losing fate in the established parties, especially in regards to economic policy, but it is not as direct of a connection as your comment makes it out to be.

[–] sylver_dragon@lemmy.world 1 points 3 weeks ago

Hyperinflation in the Weimar Republic reached its peak in 1923

One thing about this, is that inflation peaking or stabilizing does not undo the previous years of inflation. Just because prices are no longer rising out of control, doesn't mean that people's wages suddenly catch up with the price hikes which have already happened. It's part of the reason consumer confidence can lag so far behind top line economic numbers. While the hyperinflation of the 1920's may not have directly caused the rise of the NSDAP, it's lingering effects and resentment caused by it, likely played some role.