this post was submitted on 20 Jul 2023
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I would give it about 10 percent that it gets finished. He does have a new novella coming out in November.
That novella is a different version of one release 9 years ago. That represents the entirety of what he's written in the last decade.
I'd say your 10% is optimistic. It's been long enough that even if he does release it, I'd place the chances of it living up to the quality of the first 2 and giving a satisfying ending as low.