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Generative AI hype is ending – and now the technology might actually become useful
(theconversation.com)
this post was submitted on 20 Aug 2024
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Where are we on this? No way we're at the bottom of the trough yet.
Well, how disappointed are you feeling, personally?
Do you see your negative opinions of generative AI becoming more intense, or deeper within the next 6-12 months, or have they hit a plateau of sustained disappointment mediated by the prior 6-12 months?
Going down to disillusionment two months ago.
The trough of disillusionment sounds like my former depression. The slope of enlightenment sounds like a really frun water slide.
This human reaction to a lot of stuff. It's interesting how it looks like a PID loop. https://theautomization.com/pid-control-basics-in-detail-part-2/
A poorly regulated pid loop..
One overshoot, one lesser undershoot and hit the target? When it's a different thing each time? Makes me think maybe there is hope for these monkeys yet!
fascinating. Thank you.
Is it me or is there something very facile and dull about Gartner charts? Thinking especially about the “””magic””” quadrants one (wow, you ranked competitors in some area along TWO axes!), but even this chart feels like such a mundane observation that it seems like frankly undeserved advertising for Gartner, again, given how little it actually says.
And it isn't even true in many cases. For example the internet with the dotcom bubble. It actually became much bigger and important than anyone anticipated in the 90s.
The graph for VR would also be quite interesting, given how many hype cycles it has had over the decades.
It's also false in the other direction: NFTs never got a "Plateau of Productivity".
A lot of tech hype are just convoluted scams or ponzi schemes.