this post was submitted on 17 Oct 2024
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Who's winning POTUS? Will it be called on election night or drawn out? Congress? Etc

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[–] WoodScientist@lemmy.world 4 points 1 month ago (5 children)

I think we'll have a Dem trifecta after election night. I feel the even the nonpartisan polls have overcorrected in favor of Republicans after 2016, and since the overturning of Roe, polls have been underestimating Dem candidates.

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[–] Xiisadaddy@lemmygrad.ml 3 points 1 month ago

I hope its a 269 to 269 tie cuz that would be funny af

[–] CanadaPlus@lemmy.sdf.org 3 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

It's a toss up and I have no special crystal ball, but if I had to do arbitrage on it I think the risk of a 2000-style tie is even higher than projected (already 10% per Nate Silver), just based on the vibes I'm hearing.

[–] OsrsNeedsF2P@lemmy.ml 2 points 1 month ago

57% chance of Trump. If I thought the odds were otherwise, I would bet otherwise: https://www.electionbettingodds.com/President2024_week.html

[–] Pyflixia@kbin.melroy.org 1 points 1 month ago

Harris Wins.

MAGA throws a giant hissy fit, tries about three more coups, goes around intimidating election officials and offices to states that validated the election. Going to spend another 3 years arresting and jailing even more of these idiots until we have an even more prison population problem.

Trump declares once again that he didn't lose, despite all the lies saying he'll admit that he lost if it was fair.

Someone attempts to assassinate Harris during Inauguration. Someone attempts to assassinate Biden because they believe that if he doesn't pass the torch to Harris, then it'll prevent a Harris presidency.

Harris will presumably do a good job but like with nearly all Democratic presidents since Obama, the best that they're good at in Modern-Day America is just temporary hold-over solutions but nothing groundbreaking that'll last long-term.

Harris will probably be fighting with windbags leftover from GOP in Senate, House, Congress and Supreme Court because that's how they've been. No different than Obama's terms and Biden's term.

And then we'll spend 4 years basically just building up until the next shitty election.

We will either get Fascism or Fascism Liteβ„’

[–] TheRealCharlesEames@lemm.ee -3 points 1 month ago

Ez Harris W

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