this post was submitted on 16 Jan 2025
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I hope the russian economy will break down so much it elicts some sort of power shift, and with putin gone, no more mad person having to erase Ukraine and thus the war can end.
Google "russian trains" and "ball bearings". If the sanctions don't end soon for Russia, their economy absolutely will break down.
Russia moves the vast majority of its good by rail, but the trains are breaking down because the ball bearings are wearing out and Russia can't produce new ball bearings. I'm busy at work, so I can't look for the article now, but if things keep going the way they are now, Russia won't be able to transport its food harvests to its people in 1 to 2 years. There will be starvation in Russia if they don't get their trains fixed. #1) Russia doesn't have enough trucks to transport all the food it needs. #2) If Russia did have enough trucks, it still doesn't have enough roads nor good enough roads to handle all of the trucks it would need to transport all of the food it needs.
And honestly, I hope they do starve.
Yet inflation is high, interest rates are high, and rubles are cheaper than at any time since Feb 2022
all hallmarks of REAL and LASTNG economic growth!
seriously tho you reckon we’ll get something silly like one million ruble notes before this is all over?
Ya, add planes, tankers, the ruble, piping, basically everything is breaking down or showing they're close to a tipping point.
First it comes slowly, then it comes suddey...
Lets hope it happens sooner rather than later!
Edit: would love to know more about the ball bearings! Where I come from made the best ball bearings, it was rumored anyways, SKF.