this post was submitted on 04 Aug 2024
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The article seems to be based on a number of flawed premises.
Firstly, that chatgpt is the only LLM. It's not, and better, stronger, cheaper alternatives are likely to emerge.
Secondly, that LLMs are a step on the way to AGI. Like any minute now they're going to evolve. They're not, they're a one trick pony which is making coherent sentences. That's it.
The most terrifying AIs aren't even LLMs.
The same AI imaging systems that we used to get a 'picture' of a black hole a few years ago can be trained on the EM signatures of HDMI cables, meaning they now have a TEMPEST like system that can reliably read and decode any monitor within a thousand feet.
That same system can be trained on social media temperature and be used to identify all sorts of metrics such as degree of depression, gender, career, degree of sociopathy, and a ton of other things like whether a person is pregnant even before they know it.
LLMs are a toy, crosslinking AIs are a menace.
But hardly anyone is looking at the serious problem.
For now it's all butthurt artists angry that people are making porn with their publicly available art without paying them.
The real issue is our right to privacy and how we will be targeted once that is irrelevant.
Imagine if Drumpf gets into office again and one of his junior suckups says "Hey we can identify every social media account that spoke bad about you, and have a good chance of connecting them with a real world address and identity.". With SCOTUS given presidential immunity, what do you think he will do with that knowledge?
Exactly. And that's why we're in a bubble. Once the execs are finally convinced by their tech people that LLMs aren't some kind of magic bullet, we'll see a pretty big correction. As an investor, I'm not exactly looking forward to that, but as someone who works in tech, I'm honestly not worried about my job.